FINAL · THU, OCT 15Scotiabank Arena
SabresBuffalo5–4FINAL
Maple LeafsToronto
Sabres
Buffalo
Maple Leafs
Toronto
The story: K. Marchenko leads BUF past TOR
THREE STARS · OFFICIAL
Tonight's best.
KEY PLAYERS · HOW THEY DID
The three hottest on each side.
Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs
OUR PICK · HOW IT PLAYED
The model missed this one.
59%TOR WIN
✗ MISS
YTD: 55%
TOR was favored but lost.
BUF 41%TOR 59%
Why · Top Factors
Peyton Krebs 34Top Heat90 Auston Matthews
95Energy97
89.9Goalie SV%86.9
2Rest Days2
3H2H Wins (L4)1
HEAT IMPACT
Who moved up. Who moved down.
AI Recap
K. Marchenko leads BUF past TOR
K. Marchenko finished with 3 points (3G 0A). Final score: BUF 5–4 TOR. Power play went BUF 0/2 and TOR 1/3.
If you missed it
MARKET ODDS · 22 BOOKMAKERS
What the books say.
Our model: TOR 59% · Market (Pinnacle): TOR 52%
◆PinnaclesharpestBUF 2.05 · TOR 1.86
BUF 48%TOR 52%
All bookmakers (21)
Onexbet
BUF 37%TOR 41%
Marathonbet
BUF 37%TOR 41%
Betonlineag
BUF 48%TOR 52%
Unibet fr
BUF 37%TOR 41%
Betclic fr
BUF 37%TOR 41%
Codere it
BUF 37%TOR 41%
William Hill
BUF 47%TOR 53%
Winamax de
BUF 37%TOR 42%
Winamax fr
BUF 38%TOR 41%
Gtbets
BUF 48%TOR 52%
Tipico de
BUF 36%TOR 42%
Unibet se
BUF 37%TOR 41%
Unibet nl
BUF 38%TOR 40%
Leovegas se
BUF 37%TOR 41%
Betsson
BUF 48%TOR 52%
Nordicbet
BUF 48%TOR 52%
Coolbet
BUF 37%TOR 41%
Mybookieag
BUF 48%TOR 52%
Matchbook
BUF 48%TOR 53%
Betanysports
BUF 48%TOR 52%
Everygame
BUF 48%TOR 52%
Win % removes the bookmaker margin · decimal odds shown beside each book.
BOX SCORE · SOURCE: NHL.COM
Everyone who played.
Sorted by points, then ice time. Heat is each player's form over his last five games.
Buffalo Sabres35 SOG · 21 HIT · 4 BLK · 13 PIM| FORWARDS | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22Jack QuinnR | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | – | 18:04 | – |
| 86Noah OstlundC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 21:39 | 26 |
| 6Zach BensonL | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | – | 21:18 | 34 |
| 72Tage ThompsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 21:11 | – |
| 71Ryan McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 18:38 | 10 |
| 91Josh DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 17:22 | 10 |
| 19Peyton KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 16:22 | 23 |
| 94Konsta HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | – | 15:11 | 0 |
| 9Josh NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 63 | 14:50 | 12 |
| 29Beck MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | – | 8:03 | 32 |
| 15Justin DanforthR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6:08 | 0 |
| 10Sam CarrickC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | – | 5:46 | 0 |
| DEFENSE | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23Mattias SamuelssonD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 28:24 | 28 |
| 25Owen PowerDGWG | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 28:01 | 19 |
| 44Dennis GilbertD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | – | 10:37 | 34 |
| 73Zach MetsaD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 12:36 | 12 |
| 8Olen ZellwegerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 24:28 | 24 |
| 46Louis CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 16:26 | – |
| GOALIES | DEC | SA | GA | SV | SV% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | W | 30 | 4 | 26 | .867 | 63:14 |
Toronto Maple Leafs30 SOG · 25 HIT · 10 BLK · 11 PIM · 1 PPG| FORWARDS | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86Kirill MarchenkoR1 PPG | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | – | 18:36 | 62 |
| 91John TavaresC | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 11:47 | 61 |
| 34Auston MatthewsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 22:14 | 90 |
| 96Jack RoslovicC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 19:04 | 48 |
| 15Colton SissonsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 57 | 17:49 | 11 |
| 53Easton CowanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | – | 16:39 | 31 |
| 88William NylanderR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 22:18 | 70 |
| 20Nick PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 17:13 | 32 |
| 73Teddy BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14:43 | 0 |
| 24Brandon DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 11:42 | – |
| 92Gavin McKennaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6:36 | 61 |
| 19Zack MacEwenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | – | 5:27 | 0 |
| DEFENSE | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43Darren RaddyshD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | – | 27:09 | 20 |
| 22Jake McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | – | 23:30 | 0 |
| 95Oliver Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | – | 19:35 | 0 |
| 44Morgan RiellyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | – | 18:35 | 9 |
| 28Troy StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | – | 17:08 | 0 |
| 3Nick BlankenburgD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 15:37 | 14 |
| GOALIES | DEC | SA | GA | SV | SV% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72Sergei Bobrovsky | O | 35 | 5 | 30 | .857 | 63:14 |