
Pavel Zacha is the archetypal high draft pick who’s finally put it all together, leveraging his 6’4” frame to become a true dual-threat center. After years as a consistent setup man, he’s unlocked an elite scoring touch this season, commanding nearly 17 minutes a night as a top-six offensive driver who now beats goalies as often as he sets up teammates.
Cooling: 55 after the game against NSH, 33 now — still hotter than 64% of forwards (average forward 27).
Now 33 · +15 over these 14 games
4 points and 1 goal in 5 games — 1.2× his usual pace, and 1.6× what an average forward scores in 5 games.
| LAST 5 GAMES | HIM | HIS USUAL · PER 5 GAMES | AVERAGE FORWARD | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | ≈ 0.9× his usual |
| Assists | 3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | ▲ 1.4× his usual |
| Points | 4 | 3.2 | 2.5 | ▲ 1.2× his usual |
| Shots | 8 | 9 | 8 | ≈ 0.9× his usual |
| Shooting % | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| Plus/minus | +3 | +1.8 | −0.2 | +1 vs his usual |
| Ice time a game | 20:00 | 19:01 | 14:51 | ≈ 1.1× his usual |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | G | A | POINTS | SOG | +/- | TOI | HEAT AFTER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs | W | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 22:12 | 33 |
| Oct 29 | @ | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 21:00 | 25 |
| Oct 27 | @ | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 20:53 | 44 |
| Oct 24 | vs | W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:46 | 45 |
| Oct 22 | vs | W | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 16:11 | 55 |
The bar runs from zero to the league's best forward; the white tick is the average forward.
Separates in: ice time (87th), power-play points (86th), plus/minus (85th). Nothing below the middle of the league.
On pace for 53 points over 82 games, against his best season so far: 65 in 2025–26.
| SEASON | TEAM | GP | G | A | PTS | POINTS PER GAME | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026–27 · now | 14 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0.64 | +5 | |
| 2025–26 · best | 78 | 30 | 35 | 65 | 0.83 | +4 | |
| 2024–25 | 82 | 14 | 33 | 47 | 0.57 | −8 | |
| 2023–24 | 78 | 21 | 38 | 59 | 0.76 | +12 | |
| 2022–23 | 82 | 21 | 36 | 57 | 0.70 | +26 | |
| 2021–22 | 70 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 0.51 | −21 | |
| 2020–21 | 50 | 17 | 18 | 35 | 0.70 | −11 | |
| 2019–20 | 65 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 0.49 | −12 | |
| 2018–19 | 61 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 0.41 | −6 | |
| 2017–18 | 69 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 0.36 | −3 | |
| 2016–17 | 70 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 0.34 | −17 | |
| 2015–16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | +4 |
Pavel Zacha is currently enjoying a significant uptick in production, evident in his points-per-minute rate jumping a remarkable 71% over his last five games. This surge is fueled by a notable increase in his shooting percentage, nearly doubling it from his season baseline, suggesting he's finding the back of the net with greater efficiency. While his ice time has remained consistent, the enhanced offensive output indicates Zacha is capitalizing on his opportunities and is a player worth watching closely as this trend develops.