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Zegras is experiencing a significant offensive surge, nearly doubling his scoring pace. This uptick, particularly his assist generation, suggests a meaningful hot streak, not noise.
Cooling: 78 after the game against WSH, 53 now — still hotter than 87% of forwards (average forward 27).
Now 53 · +35 over these 16 games
6 points and 2 goals in 5 games — 1.5× his usual pace, and 2.4× what an average forward scores in 5 games.
| LAST 5 GAMES | HIM | HIS USUAL · PER 5 GAMES | AVERAGE FORWARD | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | ▲ 1.6× his usual |
| Assists | 4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | ▲ 1.4× his usual |
| Points | 6 | 4.1 | 2.5 | ▲ 1.5× his usual |
| Shots | 15 | 11 | 8 | ▲ 1.4× his usual |
| Shooting % | 13.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | ▲ 1.2× his usual |
| Plus/minus | +1 | −0.6 | −0.2 | +2 vs his usual |
| Ice time a game | 19:02 | 18:38 | 14:51 | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | G | A | POINTS | SOG | +/- | TOI | HEAT AFTER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vs | W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 17:08 | 53 |
| Oct 28 | @ | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | −1 | 19:09 | 78 |
| Oct 27 | vs | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20:47 | 78 |
| Oct 24 | vs | L | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 21:32 | 0 |
| Oct 21 | @ | W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16:36 | 54 |
The bar runs from zero to the league's best forward; the white tick is the average forward.
Separates in: power-play points (89th), assists (86th), ice time (84th). Below the middle: plus/minus (41st).
On pace for 67 points over 82 games, level with his best season so far: 67 in 2025–26.
| SEASON | TEAM | GP | G | A | PTS | POINTS PER GAME | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026–27 · now | 16 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 0.81 | −2 | |
| 2025–26 · best | 81 | 26 | 41 | 67 | 0.83 | 0 | |
| 2024–25 | 57 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 0.56 | −8 | |
| 2023–24 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0.48 | −1 | |
| 2022–23 | 81 | 23 | 42 | 65 | 0.80 | −24 | |
| 2021–22 | 75 | 23 | 38 | 61 | 0.81 | −21 | |
| 2020–21 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0.54 | +6 |