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Up from 25 to 72 in his last 4 games — top 5% of forwards, against an average forward at 27.
Now 72 · +47 over these 5 games
7 points and 1 goal in 5 games — right on his usual pace, 2.7× what an average forward scores in 5 games.
| LAST 5 GAMES | HIM | HIS USUAL · PER 5 GAMES | AVERAGE FORWARD | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| Assists | 6 | 6.0 | 1.5 | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| Points | 7 | 7.0 | 2.5 | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| Shots | 12 | 12 | 8 | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| Shooting % | 8.3% | 8.3% | 13.6% | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| Plus/minus | +6 | +6.0 | −0.2 | his usual |
| Ice time a game | 16:08 | 16:08 | 14:51 | ≈ 1.0× his usual |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | G | A | POINTS | SOG | +/- | TOI | HEAT AFTER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vs | W | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 16:16 | 72 |
| Oct 29 | vs | W | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 16:25 | 50 |
| Oct 27 | vs | W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:29 | 39 |
| Oct 24 | @ | W | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 16:17 | 38 |
| Oct 22 | @ | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 15:15 | 25 |
The bar runs from zero to the league's best forward; the white tick is the average forward.
Separates in: assists (99th), plus/minus (99th), shots (84th). Below the middle: power-play points (0th).
On pace for 115 points over 82 games, which would beat his best season so far: 67 in 2023–24.
| SEASON | TEAM | GP | G | A | PTS | POINTS PER GAME | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026–27 · now | 5 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1.40 | +6 | |
| 2025–26 · best | 71 | 32 | 34 | 66 | 0.93 | +6 | |
| 2024–25 | 73 | 32 | 35 | 67 | 0.92 | +12 | |
| 2023–24 | 81 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 0.83 | +23 | |
| 2022–23 | 82 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 0.48 | +10 | |
| 2021–22 | 68 | 17 | 23 | 40 | 0.59 | +11 |
Seth Jarvis is currently in a bit of a dry spell offensively. Despite seeing an increase in ice time, his point production has significantly dipped, with his points-per-minute rate dropping by over 50% in his last five outings compared to his season baseline. While his assist numbers remain steady, a sharp decline in his shooting percentage suggests he's struggling to find the back of the net, even when getting shots off. This trend warrants close monitoring, as a player of his caliber typically finds a way to convert chances, but right now, the goals aren't coming.