
Matthew Schaefer is the top-overall pick defenseman whose high-octane offensive game, marked by a rare 0.30 G/game and 0.44 A/game, translates into immediate blue-line dominance. Already entrusted with an iron-man 27.8 minutes in his debut, he's a genuine two-way force who drives play from the back end, making him a cornerstone talent for any franchise.
Schaefer is experiencing a significant scoring surge, particularly in his shooting efficiency, indicating a hot streak rather than noise. His elevated ice time and offensive production point to a player playing with confidence and effectiveness.
Steady around 35 lately — hotter than 89% of defensemen, against an average defenseman at 15.
Now 35 · +29 over these 14 games
6 points and 4 goals in 5 games — 1.2× his usual pace, and 3.6× what an average defenseman scores in 5 games. He's shooting 20% in this stretch against 8% on the season.
| LAST 5 GAMES | HIM | HIS USUAL · PER 5 GAMES | AVERAGE DEFENSEMAN | VERDICT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | ▲ 2.8× his usual |
| Assists | 2 | 3.6 | 1.3 | ▼ 0.6× his usual |
| Points | 6 | 5.0 | 1.6 | ▲ 1.2× his usual |
| Shots | 20 | 19 | 6 | ≈ 1.1× his usual |
| Shooting % | 20.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | ▲ 2.6× his usual |
| Plus/minus | −2 | −0.4 | +0.0 | −2 vs his usual |
| Ice time a game | 28:30 | 26:48 | 18:32 | ≈ 1.1× his usual |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | G | A | POINTS | SOG | +/- | TOI | HEAT AFTER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 24:33 | 35 |
| Oct 29 | @ | W | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 30:01 | 40 |
| Oct 27 | @ | W | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 32:16 | 30 |
| Oct 25 | @ | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26:16 | 25 |
| Oct 22 | vs | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 29:24 | 31 |
The bar runs from zero to the league's best defenseman; the white tick is the average defenseman.
Separates in: shots (99th), ice time (99th), goals (96th). Below the middle: plus/minus (42nd).
On pace for 82 points over 82 games, which would beat his best season so far: 59 in 2025–26.
| SEASON | TEAM | GP | G | A | PTS | POINTS PER GAME | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026–27 · now | 14 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 1.00 | −1 | |
| 2025–26 · best | 82 | 23 | 36 | 59 | 0.72 | +13 |