FINAL · SAT, OCT 10UBS Arena

LightningTampa Bay5–3FINAL
IslandersNY Islanders
Lightning
Tampa Bay
Islanders
NY Islanders
The story: B. Hagel leads TBL past NYI
THREE STARS · OFFICIAL
Tonight's best.
KEY PLAYERS · HOW THEY DID
The three hottest on each side.
OUR PICK · HOW IT PLAYED
The model missed this one.
53%NYI WIN
✗ MISS
YTD: 55%
NYI was favored but lost.
TBL 47%NYI 53%
Why · Top Factors
Oliver Bjorkstrand 48Top Heat52 Bo Horvat
99Energy100
90Goalie SV%89.3
2Rest Days2
0H2H Wins (L3)3
HEAT IMPACT
Who moved up. Who moved down.
AI Recap
B. Hagel leads TBL past NYI
B. Hagel finished with 4 points (3G 1A). Final score: TBL 5–3 NYI. Power play went TBL 1/4 and NYI 1/2.
If you missed it
MARKET ODDS · 21 BOOKMAKERS
What the books say.
Our model: NYI 53% · Market (Pinnacle): NYI 39%
◆PinnaclesharpestTBL 1.60 · NYI 2.50
TBL 61%NYI 39%
All bookmakers (20)
Onexbet
TBL 48%NYI 30%
Betclic fr
TBL 47%NYI 30%
Unibet fr
TBL 47%NYI 30%
Winamax fr
TBL 47%NYI 31%
Winamax de
TBL 47%NYI 30%
William Hill
TBL 59%NYI 41%
Codere it
TBL 47%NYI 30%
Betonlineag
TBL 62%NYI 38%
Unibet nl
TBL 48%NYI 28%
Unibet se
TBL 48%NYI 28%
Leovegas se
TBL 48%NYI 28%
Gtbets
TBL 61%NYI 39%
Betsson
TBL 61%NYI 39%
Nordicbet
TBL 61%NYI 39%
Coolbet
TBL 48%NYI 29%
Mybookieag
TBL 60%NYI 40%
Matchbook
TBL 63%NYI 37%
Tipico de
TBL 48%NYI 29%
Betanysports
TBL 61%NYI 39%
Everygame
TBL 61%NYI 39%
Win % removes the bookmaker margin · decimal odds shown beside each book.
BOX SCORE · SOURCE: NHL.COM
Everyone who played.
Sorted by points, then ice time. Heat is each player's form over his last five games.
| FORWARDS | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38Brandon HagelLGWG | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | – | 21:32 | 60 |
| 59Jake GuentzelC1 PPG | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 19:29 | 48 |
| 86Nikita KucherovR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 17:46 | 62 |
| 71Anthony CirelliC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 18:04 | 18 |
| 21Brayden PointC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 18:57 | 26 |
| 93Gage GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 18:13 | 0 |
| 29Pontus HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | – | 17:37 | 22 |
| 95Ilya MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 15:16 | – |
| 28Zemgus GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 94Conor GeekieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 11:28 | 15 |
| 49Scott SabourinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | – | 9:29 | 20 |
| DEFENSE | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24Max CrozierD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 16:30 | – |
| 27Ryan McDonaghD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | – | 15:56 | – |
| 77Victor HedmanD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 10:34 | – |
| 74John CarlsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | – | 20:43 | – |
| 81Erik CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | – | 19:01 | 9 |
| 90J.J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 17:01 | 0 |
| 51Charle-Edouard D'AstousD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | – | 13:30 | – |
| GOALIES | DEC | SA | GA | SV | SV% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88Andrei Vasilevskiy | W | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 60:00 |
| FORWARDS | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Brayden SchennC1 PPG | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 17:14 | 53 |
| 44Jean-Gabriel PageauC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 14:41 | 34 |
| 14Bo HorvatC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 20:09 | 52 |
| 81Ondrej PalatL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | – | 15:29 | 27 |
| 63Matias MaccelliL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 14:23 | – |
| 21Kyle PalmieriC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 15:16 | 0 |
| 51Emil HeinemanL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | – | 13:41 | 22 |
| 64Calum RitchieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 13:37 | 23 |
| 38Victor EklundR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | – | 13:25 | – |
| 92Simon HolmstromR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 13:18 | 21 |
| 11Anthony DuclairL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 13:17 | 13 |
| 53Casey CizikasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 10:10 | 27 |
| DEFENSE | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | FO% | TOI | HEAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77Tony DeAngeloD | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 16:33 | 20 |
| 48Matthew SchaeferD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 27:01 | – |
| 3Adam PelechD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | – | 21:11 | 16 |
| 8Logan StanleyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | – | 19:38 | – |
| 6Ryan PulockD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | – | 19:14 | – |
| 24Scott MayfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | – | 14:45 | 12 |
| GOALIES | DEC | SA | GA | SV | SV% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30Ilya Sorokin | L | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 59:49 |


