momentum.
FINAL · SUN, OCT 25

NY Islanders
Islanders
NY Islanders
3–6FINAL
Dallas
Stars
Dallas

The story: Robertson's Brace Drives Dallas to Dominant 6-3 Win Over Islanders

GAME STORY

Robertson's Brace Drives Dallas to Dominant 6-3 Win Over Islanders

Dallas Stars defeated the New York Islanders 6-3, as Jason Robertson scored twice and the Stars' potent offense ultimately overwhelmed their opponent.

Dallas opened the scoring 11 minutes into the first period with Tyler Seguin's goal, assisted by Jamie Benn and Roope Hintz. The New York Islanders quickly responded as Matthew Schaefer leveled the score just over two minutes later, assisted by Bo Horvat. However, Jason Robertson restored Dallas's lead unassisted only 49 seconds later. The back-and-forth continued into the second period when Kyle Palmieri tied the game for New York at 4:01, with assists from Ryan Pulock and Horvat. Dallas pulled ahead again mid-period on a power-play goal by Justin Hryckowian, set up by Thomas Harley and Wyatt Johnston, but Brayden Schenn equalized for the Islanders late in the second from Anthony Duclair and Emil Heineman. The deadlock finally broke for good in the third period when Wyatt Johnston scored at 4:10, assisted by Nils Lundkvist and Joel Kiviranta, giving Dallas a lead they would not surrender. Robertson added his second of the night at 9:45, and Mikko Rantanen sealed the 6-3 victory at 13:02.

Jason Robertson led the scoring for Dallas with 2 goals over 19.0 minutes of ice time. Wyatt Johnston also had a strong performance, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist while playing 20.3 minutes, and Tyler Seguin notched 1 goal and 1 assist across 14.9 minutes. Roope Hintz was a key playmaker, dishing out 2 assists with a +2 rating in 16.3 minutes. For the Islanders, Bo Horvat recorded 2 assists over 19.3 minutes, while Matthew Schaefer, Kyle Palmieri, and Brayden Schenn each scored one goal. Nils Lundkvist and Lian Bichsel stood out defensively for Dallas with a +4 rating each.

Our model correctly predicted a Dallas victory, giving the Stars a 59% chance to win. This result aligns with the Stars' recent offensive form, as they have been converting high-danger chances at a 15% clip over their last five games. Conversely, the Islanders' defensive metrics have shown cracks, allowing an average of 3.5 goals against in their previous three outings, struggling to contain potent offenses like Dallas'.

The whole night: O'Reilly's Explosion Fuels Preds; Rantanen, Hughes Make Immediate Impact →
THREE STARS · OFFICIAL

Tonight's best.

KEY PLAYERS · HOW THEY DID

The three hottest on each side.

OUR PICK · HOW IT PLAYED

The model called it.

59%DAL WIN
✓ HIT
YTD: 55%
DAL won — the model called it.
NYI 41%DAL 59%
Why · Top Factors
Matias Maccelli 60Top Heat71 Matt Duchene
100Energy100
90.2Goalie SV%89.3
3Rest Days3
2H2H Wins (L2)0
HEAT IMPACT

Who moved up. Who moved down.

If you missed it
MARKET ODDS · 23 BOOKMAKERS

What the books say.

Our model: DAL 59% · Market (Pinnacle): DAL 63%

◆PinnaclesharpestNYI 2.64 · DAL 1.55
NYI
DAL
NYI 37%DAL 63%
All bookmakers (22)
Tipico de
NYI 27%DAL 51%
Marathonbet
NYI 28%DAL 49%
Nordicbet
NYI 38%DAL 62%
Onexbet
NYI 28%DAL 49%
Betsson
NYI 38%DAL 62%
Betclic fr
NYI 27%DAL 50%
Unibet fr
NYI 28%DAL 49%
Winamax fr
NYI 28%DAL 50%
Winamax de
NYI 28%DAL 50%
Codere it
NYI 27%DAL 50%
Sport888
NYI 38%DAL 62%
William Hill
NYI 38%DAL 62%
Betonlineag
NYI 37%DAL 63%
Gtbets
NYI 36%DAL 64%
Unibet se
NYI 26%DAL 52%
Unibet nl
NYI 26%DAL 52%
Leovegas se
NYI 26%DAL 52%
Mybookieag
NYI 38%DAL 62%
Matchbook
NYI 37%DAL 63%
Coolbet
NYI 27%DAL 51%
Betanysports
NYI 37%DAL 63%
Everygame
NYI 37%DAL 63%

Win % removes the bookmaker margin · decimal odds shown beside each book.

BOX SCORE · SOURCE: NHL.COM

Everyone who played.

Sorted by points, then ice time. Heat is each player's form over his last five games.

NY IslandersNew York Islanders19 SOG · 29 HIT · 13 BLK · 6 PIM
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
14Bo HorvatC022020205819:180
21Kyle PalmieriC101-13010–16:580
10Brayden SchennC101-225106316:100
51Emil HeinemanL011-20420–15:000
11Anthony DuclairL011-11100–14:370
92Simon HolmstromR00001010–18:570
81Ondrej PalatL00002200–15:170
38Victor EklundR00000410–14:230
44Jean-Gabriel PageauC000021005013:210
53Casey CizikasC000002005011:270
26Mitchell ChaffeeR00000202–11:220
32Kyle MacLeanC00000300–10:370
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
48Matthew SchaeferD10101010–26:16–
6Ryan PulockD011-10220–19:060
8Logan StanleyD000-11112–20:51–
3Adam PelechD00002212–19:230
77Tony DeAngeloD000-20000–17:140
4Matthew KesselD00002000–14:020
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
30Ilya SorokinL38632.84259:56
DallasDallas Stars38 SOG · 9 HIT · 13 BLK · 8 PIM · 1 PPG
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
21Jason RobertsonL20203020–18:580
53Wyatt JohnstonCGWG112-122104020:150
91Tyler SeguinC112020006014:520
24Roope HintzC022+220001716:170
96Mikko RantanenR101+12000–18:520
49Justin HryckowianC1 PPG101020004013:540
22Joel KivirantaL011+12210–13:080
14Jamie BennL011+11000–12:150
25Arttu HyryR000+13000–16:010
15Colin BlackwellC0000420010010:180
46Dylan HryckowianR000+11000–10:03–
43Matthew SeminoffR00002100–8:53–
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
55Thomas HarleyD011-13140–24:43–
5Nils LundkvistD011+40012–18:200
6Lian BichselD011+40112–18:10–
4Miro HeiskanenD000-24002–21:560
57Tyler MyersD000-13020–20:040
20Kyle CapobiancoD00002012–15:010
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
29Jake OettingerW19316.84260:00