momentum.
FINAL · WED, OCT 21

Florida
Panthers
Florida
1–5FINAL
Ottawa
Senators
Ottawa

The story: Stützle Fuels Senators' 5-1 Victory Over Panthers

GAME STORY

Stützle Fuels Senators' 5-1 Victory Over Panthers

The Ottawa Senators defeated the Florida Panthers 5-1, sparking a five-goal unanswered run after an early deficit to secure a dominant regulation win.

Florida's Brady Tkachuk opened scoring on the power play at P1 10:00 (M. Tkachuk, S. Jones). Ottawa's Tim Stützle tied the game with a power-play goal at P1 14:13 (J. Sanderson, S. Halliday). The Senators then took control with five unanswered goals. Claude Giroux gave Ottawa the lead at P2 09:34 (N. Matinpalo); Shane Pinto extended it at P2 17:18 (J. Sanderson); Warren Foegele (P3 07:58, D. Cozens, D. Batherson) and Stephen Halliday (P3 14:57, T. Stützle) sealed the 5-1 regulation victory.

Ottawa's offense was powered by strong performances. First star Tim Stützle recorded 1 goal and 1 assist. Second star Jake Sanderson contributed 0 goals and 2 assists. Third star Dylan Cozens earned 0 goals and 1 assist with a +2 rating. Stephen Halliday also produced 1 goal and 1 assist. Claude Giroux, Shane Pinto, and Warren Foegele also scored. Drake Batherson and Nikolas Matinpalo each tallied an assist and an impressive +3 rating.

momentum.'s model gave Ottawa a 47% chance to win, making their decisive 5-1 victory a significant upset. The outcome directly contradicted our statistical forecast, demonstrating hockey's unpredictability. This game clearly shows the model's pick was wrong; Ottawa controlled play after initial power-play goals, defying odds with a strong home performance.

The whole night: Senators Explode for Five, Stun Florida Panthers in Upset Win →
THREE STARS · OFFICIAL

Tonight's best.

KEY PLAYERS · HOW THEY DID

The three hottest on each side.

OUR PICK · HOW IT PLAYED

The model missed this one.

53%FLA WIN
✗ MISS
YTD: 55%
FLA was favored but lost.
FLA 53%OTT 47%
Why · Top Factors
Matthew Tkachuk 100Top Heat43 Tim Stützle
100Energy100
87.7Goalie SV%86.7
4Rest Days4
3H2H Wins (L4)1
HEAT IMPACT

Who moved up. Who moved down.

If you missed it
MARKET ODDS · 23 BOOKMAKERS

What the books say.

Our model: FLA 53% · Market (Pinnacle): FLA 49%

◆PinnaclesharpestFLA 1.97 · OTT 1.93
FLA
OTT
FLA 49%OTT 51%
All bookmakers (22)
Coolbet
FLA 39%OTT 38%
Unibet se
FLA 40%OTT 38%
Unibet nl
FLA 40%OTT 38%
Marathonbet
FLA 38%OTT 39%
Onexbet
FLA 38%OTT 39%
Betonlineag
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Unibet fr
FLA 38%OTT 38%
Sport888
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Gtbets
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Betclic fr
FLA 38%OTT 39%
William Hill
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Codere it
FLA 38%OTT 38%
Winamax fr
FLA 38%OTT 38%
Winamax de
FLA 39%OTT 39%
Leovegas se
FLA 40%OTT 38%
Tipico de
FLA 39%OTT 38%
Matchbook
FLA 49%OTT 51%
Mybookieag
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Nordicbet
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Betsson
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Betanysports
FLA 50%OTT 50%
Everygame
FLA 50%OTT 50%

Win % removes the bookmaker margin · decimal odds shown beside each book.

BOX SCORE · SOURCE: NHL.COM

Everyone who played.

Sorted by points, then ice time. Heat is each player's form over his last five games.

FloridaFlorida Panthers19 SOG · 42 HIT · 11 BLK · 44 PIM · 1 PPG
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
8Brady TkachukL1 PPG101-23606–13:13100
19Matthew TkachukL011-13506–17:29100
15Anton LundellC000-113005019:0020
27Eetu LuostarinenC000-11120–17:560
20Lars EllerC000-211101717:20–
9Sam BennettC000-123073316:5531
23Carter VerhaegheC000-21100–16:5556
13Sam ReinhartC000001003315:5470
95Sandis VilmanisL000-10200–11:4812
21Garnet HathawayR00001210–9:570
79Cole SchwindtR000-10500–7:40–
14Bokondji ImamaL000002015–7:190
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
3Seth JonesD011-13210–21:0971
42Gustav ForslingD000-11010–22:268
77Niko MikkolaD000-22032–19:43–
5Aaron EkbladD00000204–19:0616
6Radko GudasD000-20414–17:030
7Dmitry KulikovD000-20210–16:2511
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
40Akira SchmidL30525.83360:00
OttawaOttawa Senators30 SOG · 25 HIT · 16 BLK · 40 PIM · 1 PPG
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
18Tim StützleC1 PPG112+110107019:4146
34Stephen HallidayC112+141106714:4748
12Shane PintoC101+120106920:3126
37Warren FoegeleL101+14210–14:3126
28Claude GirouxRGWG101+22000–13:5239
24Dylan CozensC011+242024418:24–
19Drake BathersonR011+31112–17:4127
71Ridly GreigC000+112076317:0710
22Michael AmadioR00001000–14:4812
20Fabian ZetterlundL00001100–12:4513
21Nick CousinsC000024014–8:04–
42Hayden HodgsonR00000307–6:570
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
85Jake SandersonD022+14210–22:3630
33Nikolas MatinpaloD011+30212–13:1313
43Tyler KlevenD000+11340–22:088
10Jordan SpenceD000+12210–18:588
26Carter YakemchukD000+10042–18:440
2Artem ZubD000+10004–17:0410
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
35Linus UllmarkW18117.94443:35
30Samuel Ersson–1011.00016:25